Signal Performance

What happened to the signals we fired

Honest accounting. Includes everything Helix ever proposed — AUTO, REVIEW, INFO. Realized return is the actual close-to-close ROI at the signal's expiry — not the target/stop we set up front. The Target / Stop / Flat label only marks which level (if any) price touched intraday; a signal can touch its stop and still close green. Win rate = share of priced signals that closed positive at expiry. Blocked = the pre-save invariant gate refused the signal at fire time. Dismissed = the lifecycle sweeper closed it.

Total signals

106

105 resolved · 1 pending

Win rate

49%

19 closed up / 39 priced at expiry

Avg realized

+0.62%

across resolved outcomes

Flat rate

13%

expired without hitting target or stop

Breakdown

By tier

Tier	Total	Target hit	Stop hit	Flat	Avg realized
auto	1	0	0	1	+7.00%
review	103	12	19	12	+0.56%
info	2	1	0	1	-1.50%

What works

By catalyst subtype

Catalyst	n	Wins	Losses	Flat	Avg realized
Macro print	35	1	8	1	-0.95%
Treasury buy	23	4	3	1	+2.78%
Partnership	20	4	2	6	+0.15%
ETF flow	15	2	3	1	+0.20%
Tech / product	4	0	3	0	-3.18%
Whale flow	4	1	0	3	+0.91%
Legislative progress	2	0	0	1	—

Receipts

Recent resolved signals

Date	Asset	Dir	Headline	Outcome	Realized
2026-07-17	tok-sol	LONG	ETF flow	Flat	—
2026-07-16	tok-ondo	LONG	SBI partners with Ondo to bring Japanese stocks on-chain via JPYSC stablecoin	Flat	—
2026-07-16	tok-btc	LONG	The U.S. House Financial Services Committee will hold a field hearing on the CLARITY Act tom…	Flat	—
2026-07-15	stk-hood	LONG	MetaMask announced support for Robinhood Chain	Flat	—
2026-07-14	stk-coin	LONG	Market News: Coinbase has opened registration for Chinese users	Flat	—
2026-07-14	tok-btc	LONG	China’s central bank said it’s boosting longer-term liquidity injections through outright re…	Flat	—
2026-07-10	stk-hood	LONG	Crypto trading app fomo now supports Robinhood Chain	Flat	+3.00%
2026-07-08	tok-eth	LONG	China's central bank pledges to maintain accommodative policy amid weak demand, external sho…	Stop	+1.16%
2026-07-08	tok-btc	LONG	China's central bank pledges to maintain accommodative policy amid weak demand, external sho…	Stop	-2.39%
2026-07-04	stk-hood	LONG	Rabby Wallet integrates Robinhood Chain	Flat	—
2026-07-02	trs-mstr	SHORT	JPMorgan warns Michael Saylor’s financing overhaul at Strategy could turn one of Bitcoin’s b…	Flat	+7.00%
2026-07-02	tok-aave	LONG	Aave V3 has been deployed on Monad.	Stop	-5.00%
2026-07-02	tok-ondo	LONG	Binance Web3 API launches RWA trading functionality, supporting Ondo, bStock, and xStock ass…	Stop	-4.00%
2026-07-02	tok-btc	LONG	Metaplanet increased its holdings by 2823 Bitcoin, bringing its total holdings to 43000 Bitc…	Stop	-2.70%
2026-07-01	stk-hood	LONG	Robinhood is rolling out perpetual futures on commodities, exchange-traded funds and currenc…	Target	+3.00%
2026-06-29	trs-mstr	SHORT	Michael Saylor’s Strategy said it may sell up to $1.25 billion of Bitcoin to bolster its cas…	Target	+7.00%
2026-06-27	tok-hype	LONG	[@lookonchain] Bitwise deposited 1.775M $HYPE($114M) into #Hyperliquid and staked it 8 hours…	Flat	+6.00%
2026-06-25	tok-sol	LONG	PAXG, the gold-backed token issued by Paxos, is now live on the Solana mainnet.	Stop	+0.46%
2026-06-25	tok-btc	LONG	U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending June 20 were 215,000, compared to an expecta…	Stop	-2.50%
2026-06-23	tok-btc	LONG	US ADP employment increased by 30,750 in the week ended June 6	Stop	-2.50%
2026-06-23	tok-xrp	LONG	US XRP spot ETF daily net inflow: $5.3091 million	Stop	-3.00%
2026-06-19	tok-btc	LONG	[@DecryptMedia] Franklin Templeton Files for ETFs That Funnel Stock Dividends Into Bitcoin	Stop	-2.50%
2026-06-17	stk-coin	SHORT	[@DecryptMedia] Coinbase-Backed Crypto Perps Exchange Satori Finance Is Shutting Down	Target	+3.00%
2026-06-17	tok-eth	LONG	The Fed’s dot plot shows the year-end 2026 median projection for the federal funds rate at 3…	Stop	-2.32%
2026-06-17	tok-sol	LONG	Helius researcher released a proposal suggesting to increase Solana's anti-inflation rate fr…	Target	+3.24%